Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001466 0.001555 0.001648 0.001751 0.001862 0.001978 0.002109
2025-02-16 0.001371 0.001502 0.001644 0.001807 0.001991 0.002193 0.002431
2025-02-23 0.001268 0.001423 0.001595 0.001800 0.002039 0.002309 0.002641
2025-03-02 0.001166 0.001334 0.001523 0.001754 0.002031 0.002354 0.002763
2025-03-09 0.001090 0.001266 0.001470 0.001724 0.002034 0.002406 0.002889
2025-03-16 0.001040 0.001225 0.001443 0.001720 0.002067 0.002491 0.003057
2025-03-23 0.000989 0.001179 0.001407 0.001702 0.002078 0.002547 0.003187
2025-03-30 0.000949 0.001145 0.001383 0.001695 0.002101 0.002617 0.003336
2025-04-06 0.000905 0.001104 0.001347 0.001671 0.002100 0.002654 0.003442
2025-04-13 0.000864 0.001063 0.001310 0.001644 0.002091 0.002680 0.003532
2025-04-20 0.000814 0.001009 0.001254 0.001588 0.002041 0.002645 0.003534
2025-04-27 0.000798 0.000998 0.001252 0.001604 0.002088 0.002745 0.003730
2025-05-04 0.000779 0.000984 0.001249 0.001621 0.002142 0.002863 0.003968
2025-05-11 0.000776 0.000992 0.001274 0.001678 0.002255 0.003070 0.004354
2025-05-18 0.000750 0.000968 0.001256 0.001673 0.002279 0.003151 0.004553
2025-05-25 0.000713 0.000927 0.001213 0.001632 0.002247 0.003147 0.004620
2025-06-01 0.000684 0.000896 0.001181 0.001604 0.002233 0.003168 0.004727
2025-06-08 0.000664 0.000877 0.001167 0.001601 0.002256 0.003245 0.004928
2025-06-15 0.000642 0.000853 0.001144 0.001584 0.002257 0.003288 0.005073
2025-06-22 0.000624 0.000836 0.001129 0.001578 0.002273 0.003354 0.005261
2025-06-29 0.000603 0.000812 0.001104 0.001556 0.002264 0.003380 0.005381
2025-07-06 0.000581 0.000788 0.001078 0.001532 0.002249 0.003394 0.005479
2025-07-13 0.000553 0.000753 0.001036 0.001480 0.002189 0.003330 0.005435